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Reeves rakes in report £67bn from ‘jobs tax’


Employers paid a report £67bn in National Insurance on their employees’ pay packets within the seven months earlier than Rachel Reeves jacked up the so-called “jobs tax” in her Budget on the finish of October.

The haul of £66.8bn between April and October represents a bounce of just about 6pc from the £63bn which the Treasury obtained in the identical interval of the earlier yr, figures from HM Revenue and Customs present.

By distinction worker National Insurance contributions, that are proven in employees’ pay packets, fell to £28bn, down by nearly one-quarter on the yr, after the Conservatives minimize the speed twice of their ultimate yr of workplace.

It signifies that the overwhelming majority of National Insurance is already being paid by employers, with the share set to rise additional subsequent yr following the Budget.

Damon Hopkins at monetary providers consultancy Broadstone, mentioned the tax figures present employers’ contributions already “far exceeding previous tax years and highlighting just how lucrative national insurance is likely to become for the Treasury”.

The Chancellor’s tax raid takes impact at first of the brand new monetary yr in April 2025.

From that time employers pays a price of 15pc – up from 13.8pc – and the wage threshold at which the tax kicks in will fall to £5,000, down from £9,100 at the moment.

It means companies which make use of lower-paid employees are set to be hit notably arduous by the tax enhance.

“With the exception of very small businesses, these increased costs are likely to force businesses to review their approach to hiring, pay and benefits and perhaps even wider operating costs,” mentioned Mr Hopkins.

“Balancing these new cost pressures while supporting employees through what is still a fragile macroeconomic environment and without compromising retention or productivity will be a challenge.”

Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, has cautioned that employers will both have to soak up the price in decrease earnings, or will cross it on to prospects within the type of increased costs, or employees in decrease wages or fewer jobs.

At the time of the Budget final month, the Office for Budget Responsibility predicted the NIC raid would value round 50,000 jobs.

Other analysts have predicted larger losses. Sanjay Raja, economist at Deutsche Bank, estimates the financial system will miss out on 100,000 jobs, both as employees lose their positions, or companies cancel plans to rent extra employees.

Read the most recent updates beneath.

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Italy, Abu Dhabi and Cyprus are amongst a bunch of nations looking for to woo Britain’s wealthy following the government crackdown on nom-doms.

Countries are holding occasions throughout London to persuade the UK’s 67,000 non-doms – UK residents with tax domiciles elsewhere – to relocate within the wake of the election and Labour’s first Budget.

A Cyprus authorities company will subsequent month co-host an occasion on the London Stock Exchange geared toward convincing high-net price people to maneuver.

Last month the Abu Dhabi Investment Office hosted a separate occasion for rich Britons at London’s Jumeirah resort in an effort to persuade them to maneuver.

Italian legislation agency Chiomenti, in the meantime, sponsored a Henley & Partners occasion in London this month titled: “Non-Doms: ‘Should I Stay or Should I Go?’.”

Read the full story…


The FTSE 100 rose as we speak as buyers purchased shares in oil corporations and mining shares, amid fears over escalations in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

London’s blue-chip index gained 0.8pc, to finish the day at 8,149.27.

Shell and BP tracked rising oil costs, with the vitality majors’ inventory rising 1.8pc and 2pc respectively.

Similarly, defence-oriented corporations Rolls-Royce and BAE Systems additionally made strong features off the again of rising tensions across the battle in Ukraine.

It comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin mentioned on Thursday that Russia had examined a brand new intermediate-range missile in a strike on Ukraine.

He additionally warned Moscow may use it towards nations which have allowed Kyiv to make use of their missiles to strike Russia.

The assault is available in every week when tensions have already risen, after the US and UK eased restrictions on Ukraine’s use of their very own longer-range missiles inside Russia.

At the tip of the day in Europe, Frankfurt’s Dax index rose 0.7pc whereas the Cac 40 in Paris gained 0.2pc.


The Serious Fraud Office has launched an investigation into suspected bribery and corruption at French defence big Thales.

Authorities within the UK and France mentioned they’re finishing up a joint probe into the agency, which employs greater than 7,000 employees within the UK.

Thales is likely one of the Government’s key defence contractors, and constructed a whole lot of light-weight missiles which the UK despatched to Ukraine in September.

It comes after police in France, the Netherlands and Spain searched the corporate’s workplaces in June, over suspicions of corruption linked to arms gross sales overseas, in response to studies.

Investigators from the SFO and French authority Parquet National Financier (PNF) have knowledgeable the corporate of the investigation, they mentioned on Thursday.

A Thales spokesman instructed The Telegraph: “Thales is cooperating with the PNF in France and the SFO in the UK. The group complies with all national and international regulations. As the investigation is ongoing, Thales will not comment further.”

Thales employs more than 7,000 staff in the UK
Thales employs greater than 7,000 employees within the UK – Sarah Meyssonnier/Reuters

The primary Europe-wide inventory index edged up as we speak, buoyed by a rally in vitality and tech shares that ended its longest shedding streak in additional than two months.

The Stoxx 600 index closed up 0.5up, snapping its four-day shedding streak.

Uncertainties across the escalating Ukraine-Russia battle drove up oil costs, resulting in features within the vitality sector that ticked 1.3pc increased.

Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index, mentioned:

We’re not seeing these geopolitical considerations actually being mirrored within the inventory market. We noticed somewhat little bit of nerves, which is limiting features, relatively than creating a giant risk-off temper out there.

Despite hitting report highs earlier this yr, the Stoxx 600 has sharply fallen behind its US counterpart S&P 500 in 2024, additionally dented by probably home impacts of Donald Trump’s US presidential victory, considerations over Chinese spending and the euro zone’s financial woes.

European tech shares ASML and SAP reversed early losses and gained greater than 2pc every.


The FTSE 100 closed up this afternoon by 0.8pc. Safety techniques group Halma rose 5.7pc, adopted by insurer Beazley, up 3.6pc.

At the opposite finish of the index, JD Sports plunged 15.5pc, adopted by Vodafone, down a a lot smaller 3.3pc.

Meanwhile, the mid-cap FTSE 250 rose 0.4pc.

The high riser was Ithaca Energy, up 9.2pc, adopted by tech investor IP Group, up 6.2pc.

City agency CMC Markets fell probably the most, shedding 14.8pc, adopted by funding firm Petershill Partners, falling 6.3pc.


Bitcoin continued its current rally that has seen the cryptocurrency surge greater than 40pc for the reason that US election on expectations president-elect Donald Trump will loosen the regulatory atmosphere for cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin is up 2.9pc at $97,048, after reaching a report excessive of $98,367.

Despite its present reputation, hype round cryptocurrency has been extensively criticised by funding veterans. The billionaire Warren Buffet has described crypto as “rat poison squared … Whether it goes up or down in the next year, or five or 10 years, I don’t know. But the one thing I’m pretty sure of is that it doesn’t produce anything”.

Bill Gates, the co-founder of Microsoft, has mentioned that crypto is “not adding to society like other investments”.


The greenback rose in uneven buying and selling as we speak as buyers assessed new knowledge on the roles market and what that may imply for US rates of interest.

The greenback was up 0.4pc towards the pound at £0.7934 and up 0.5pc towards the euro at 0.9534.

Weekly preliminary jobless claims within the US dropped 6,000 to a (seasonally adjusted) 213,000, a seven-month low, indicating job progress rebounded after being disrupted by hurricanes and labour strikes final month.

Brad Bechtel, international head of international change at Jefferies in New York, mentioned:

Some of the Trump-trade euphoria that was out there is beginning to put on off somewhat bit, nevertheless it’s nonetheless there and persons are nonetheless rebalancing their portfolios, which is driving issues in the direction of the greenback usually talking, on the margin as we speak.


The FTSE 100 is up 0.8pc this afternoon, at the same time as tech shares overwhelm on Wall Street.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at on-line buying and selling platform IG, mentioned:

The FTSE 100’s day has been dominated by the weak outlook from JD Sports, which has despatched the shares diving [by 14.4pc] and the strong replace by Halma, which has gained over 5pc.

JD Sports shares fell as much as 16.9pc today
JD Sports shares fell as a lot as 16.9pc as we speak – Betty Laura Zapata/Bloomberg

Stock markets within the euro zone and in China can be broken by the Trump administration, on account of contemporary tariffs, Capital Economics has claimed.

Hubert de Barochez, senior markets economist, mentioned he believed that Chinese inventory markets would “fare particularly poorly”. He added:

Companies in Germany may very well be notably susceptible to a commerce battle, given the nation’s sturdy commerce ties with China and massive commerce surplus with the US. Meanwhile, France’s inventory market is closely tilted in the direction of the posh sector, which has been hit arduous by considerations about progress in China. And even an financial restoration in China would in all probability not assist a lot given the authorities’ ongoing crackdown on ostentatious shows of wealth as a part of its “common prosperity” agenda…


Shares in Mitie dropped 5.8pc as we speak regardless of the amenities administration big saying underlying earnings increased than market expectations.

Adjusted working earnings rose 14pc to £101.1m, almost double what evaluation had predicted.

But buyers had been frightened in regards to the future, with Rachel Reeves’s hike in National Insurance contributions more likely to make a significant dent to future earnings.

Mitie instructed buyers that its telecoms infrastructure enterprise “has continued to underperform in a challenging market” and that it will search to give up a few of its contracts.

Mark Crouch, market analyst at funding platform eToro, mentioned:

Mitie Group has been on a roll, posting sturdy features in contract wins, renewals and extensions, which surged by a powerful 54pc. Riding excessive on this momentum, the corporate has unveiled plans to additional reward shareholders.


Volkswagen’s union urged administration to take a “big step” in negotiations over pay and manufacturing unit closures, days earlier than threatened strikes happen.

Thousands of workers gathered as talks had been held over wages for 120,000 of Volkswagen’s roughly 300,000 employees in Germany, employed at six crops ruled by a separate collective wage settlement to the remainder of the workforce.

Volkswagen has demanded a 10pc wage minimize, arguing it must slash prices and enhance revenue to defend market share within the face of low cost competitors from China and a drop in European automotive demand. It can be threatening to shut crops in Germany for the primary time in its 87-year historical past.

Union representatives yesterday proposed forgoing bonuses for 2 years and making a fund to finance a short lived discount in working hours in much less productive areas of the enterprise. They mentioned these measures would keep away from redundancies and save €1.5bn (£1.3bn).

But the proposal was contingent on administration ruling out plant closures, which Volkswagen has refused to do.

The IG Metall union additionally signalled that it desires shareholders to take a decreased dividend, with out scrapping it altogether, however didn’t specify an quantity.

Thorsten Groeger, a negotiator from IG Metall, mentioned:

An answer earlier than Christmas depends on the opposite facet making a giant step in the direction of one as we speak.

Gunnar Kilian,Volkswagen board member in command of HR, mentioned:

We welcome that employee representatives are signalling openness to measures on labour prices and overcapacity … We will go into an in depth change within the negotiations.

Unionised Volkswagen employees demonstrate in Wolfsburg, Germany, today
Unionised Volkswagen workers show in Wolfsburg, Germany, as we speak – Carsten Koall/Getty Images

Wall Street’s primary inventory indexes have skilled uneven buying and selling this afternoon as shares in Google proprietor Alphabet pulled down the the market.

Alphabet dropped 6.7pc after the US Justice Department argued to a decide that Google should promote its Chrome browser.

Megacaps corresponding to Meta Platforms fell 2.7pc, Amazon misplaced 2.1pc and Apple shed 0.8pc.

Meanwhile, Wall Street’s largest firm, Nvidia, rose 4.8pc to a report excessive however is at the moment down 2.7pc, after posting its newest quarterly outcomes final night time.

Some buyers are unimpressed that the tech agency’s forecast was its slowest in seven quarters.

Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B Riley Wealth, mentioned:

Nvidia had a spectacular quarter … however it’s overshadowed by expectations. Great expectations are constructed within the inventory and have been operating on the price at which Nvidia has been operating.

The S&P 500 is down 0.1pc, the Dow Jones is up 0.5pc and the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down 0.8pc.


European fuel costs jumped to their highest degree in a yr as we speak amid persevering with tensions this week between the West and Russia.

Gas rose as a lot as 4.4pc throughout and is at the moment up 3.1pc, despite the fact that flows of Russian fuel to the continent are mentioned to be transferring at regular ranges.

Torgrim Reitan, finance chief of Equinor, the Norwegian state-controlled vitality big, instructed Bloomberg:

Europe’s steadiness of provides can grow to be important if now we have a colder-than-normal winter


EasyJet has introduced the launch of what’s going to be its longest route from England.

The airline mentioned it should function flights between Gatwick airport in West Sussex and the island of Sal in Cape Verde from March 31 subsequent yr.

The distance of two,332 nautical miles exceeds the service’s present longest route serving an English airport, which is between Manchester and the Egyptian resort of Hurghada (2,240 nautical miles).

EasyJet’s longest route throughout its complete community will stay between Belfast and Hurghada (2,400 nautical miles).

Three return flights between Gatwick and Sal will function every week utilizing A320neo plane, and are scheduled to last as long as 5 hours and 50 minutes.

Shares had been down barely to 0.1pc.

Alex Singleton will take over weblog obligation from right here and can be sure to keep updated with the most recent from the markets.


Jaguar has supplied a glimpse of its “polarising” new electrical automotive after attracting ridicule for its controversial rebrand.

The British carmaker has revealed a partial picture of the brand new mannequin, which can be unveiled at Miami Art Week subsequent month.

The picture reveals a smooth automotive in a metallic grey-blue with a lined grille throughout the again. It is accompanied by the tagline “Copy nothing”.

Read how the image has attracted criticism from social media users.

Jaguar's teaser and its broader departure from traditional branding has been widely criticised online
Jaguar’s teaser and its broader departure from conventional branding has been extensively criticised on-line – Jaguar

One of the Bank of England’s policymakers mentioned large rate of interest cuts would “jar” companies into altering their pricing methods and assist deliver down inflaiton.

Catherine Mann mentioned she advocated an “activist” stance on lowering borrowing prices relatively than the “gradual” strategy which Govenor Andrew Bailey talked about this week.

Speaking at an occasion held by Brown Brothers Harriman, she mentioned: “When you’re going to make a change in policy, make it big enough so people can see it.”

She mentioned the Bank of England may “have an immediate reaction in the pricing strategies of firms” with bigger rate of interest cuts.

She mentioned: “You can get some mileage on the disinflation process without having to go through the long lags.”

Dr Mann advised the Bank must maintain rates of interest increased for longer earlier than starting a marketing campaign of sharp cuts as soon as inflation “persistence” has been purged from the British financial system.


Britain is affected by a “tremendous amount of persistence” in inflation, one of many Bank of England’s policymakers has warned.

Catherine Mann mentioned the most recent figures exhibiting providers inflation rose to 5pc in October was an indicator that the battle towards inflation was not over.

The shopper costs index rose by greater than anticipated to 2.3pc in October, having fallen to 1.7pc in September.

Dr Mann mentioned the suggestion that the Bank of England may minimize charges by one other full share level was “too aggressive”.


Wall Street’s primary inventory indexes opened increased after unemployment claims knowledge indicated the roles market stays sturdy.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 130.2 factors, or 0.3pc, on the open to 43,538.78 after AI-heavyweight Nvidia superior 1.5pc after reporting upbeat quarterly outcomes and forecast.

The S&P 500 rose 23.5 factors, or 0.4pc, on the open to five,940.58​, whereas the Nasdaq Composite rose 106.6 factors, or 0.6pc, to 19,072.78.


The Bank of England must maintain rates of interest increased for longer earlier than starting a marketing campaign of sharp cuts, certainly one of its policymakers has mentioned.

Catherine Mann, who was the one member of the Monetary Policy Committee to vote towards lowering borrowing prices earlier this month, mentioned she was towards a “gradual” strategy to slicing charges, which has been advocated by Governor Andrew Bailey.

She mentioned the Bank must “hold for longer” in order that policymakers can “evaluate the state of underlying persistence” of inflation and “purge the structural elements to the extent that you can”.

In a hearth chat with Brown Brothers Harriman, she mentioned it was necessary to eliminate “rigidities” in inflation within the financial system.

She mentioned: “So that means that when I decide to make an adjustment, I will make a larger change in Bank Rate.”

She added that the advantage of her plan was {that a} bigger minimize to rates of interest would assist “provide a clearer signal that there’s been a change in the underlying inflation dynamics”, which might affect enterprise behaviour.

Catherine Mann wants the Bank of England to keep interest rates higher for longer
Catherine Mann desires the Bank of England to maintain rates of interest increased for longer – Akos Stiller/Bloomberg

Mike Ashley has called for Boohoo shareholders to oust its founder following a set of “catastrophic” monetary outcomes.

Mr Ashley’s Frasers Group has demanded buyers vote to take away Mahmud Kamani as a director, saying its “dismal” monetary outcomes and lack of transparency meant the Boohoo founder “must go”.

In an open letter revealed on Thursday, Frasers mentioned Boohoo’s newest outcomes and refinancing had been a “catastrophe” for the corporate and “far worse than shareholders could have ever imagined”.

It comes after Boohoo final week mentioned revenues had been down by 15pc within the six months to August, with bosses looking for to shore up the corporate’s place with a £222m debt refinancing deal.

Read why Frasers said investors had a “simple choice” at an upcoming vote.

Mike Ashley is locked in a power struggle with the fashion retailer's board and says the founder 'must go'
Mike Ashley is locked in an influence wrestle with the style retailer’s board and says the founder ‘must go’ – Jamie Lorriman

US inventory markets are on monitor to open increased after AI-heavyweight Nvidia as soon as once more beat analyst expectations in its newest quarterly outcomes.

Wall Street had initially been subdued after the closing bell on Wednesday when Nvidia’s income forecast did not impress buyers, sending its shares down 1.7pc in aftermarket buying and selling.

However, it has reversed in premarket offers, with shares on the right track to rise 1.7pc after it beat quarterly revenue expectations.

Stocks had been additionally boosted by a fall within the variety of Americans making use of for unemployment advantages, remaining close to seven-month lows.

The Labor Department reported that jobless declare purposes fell by 6,000 to 213,000 for the week of November 16. That is fewer than the 220,000 analysts forecast.

The four-week common of weekly claims, which quiets among the weekly volatility, fell by 3,750 to 217,750.

Continuing claims, the overall variety of Americans amassing jobless advantages, rose by 36,000 to 1.91 million for the week of Nov. 9. That was increased than anticipated and probably the most in three years.

In premarket buying and selling, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 had been up 0.5pc, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.6pc.

Nvidia, led by founder and chief executive Jensen Huang, beat analysts' profit expectations again
Nvidia, led by founder and chief government Jensen Huang, beat analysts’ revenue expectations once more – JOSH EDELSON/AFP by way of Getty Images

PayPal has mentioned all its techniques are “operational” once more following an outage that impacted hundreds of customers globally.


PayPal mentioned account withdrawals, on-line checkout, crypto, Xoom and its Venmo providers had been all impacted by the outage.

The outage comes on a day bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has surged to ranges to over $98,000 and pulled different crypto shares together with it.

PayPal permits its purchasers to purchase, promote and maintain cryptocurrency.

Crypto exchanges Coinbase and Kraken additionally posted about outages with PayPal transactions and deposit delays, respectively, on their web site.

Many customers reported being introduced with an error message when trying to log in, saying: “Some of your info isn’t correct. Please try again.”

PayPal has been contacted for additional remark.


PayPal mentioned it has been hit with a “system issue that may be affecting multiple products”.

The on-line funds supplier mentioned its technical groups “are actively working towards resolving the issue”.


Thousands of PayPal prospects have reported the web cost service has “gone down”, leaving many unable to pay payments.

More than 6,000 studies of an outage had been made on the monitoring web site Downdetector.

Users world wide have taken to social media to complain in regards to the system not working:


The chief government of John Lewis has accused Rachel Reeves of launching a “two-handed” tax seize on retailers, as the corporate joined the rising backlash over the Chancellor’s Budget.

Nish Kankiwala mentioned John Lewis is dealing with elevated employment prices and a better enterprise charges invoice following the Budget, which dangers hampering the retailer’s turnaround.

“That seems to be sort of [a] two-handed grab, and that’s unhelpful,” he instructed the Financial Times.

He mentioned the partnership, which runs each John Lewis department stores and Waitrose supermarkets, is ready to spend tens of thousands and thousands of kilos further on employees prices after the Chancellor elevated the speed of National Insurance for employers (Nics).

This chart shows how Nics will rise.

Nish Kankiwala, the chief executive of John Lewis Partnership, urged the Government to reform business rates
Nish Kankiwala, the chief government of John Lewis Partnership, urged the Government to reform enterprise charges – Chris J. Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

The worth of oil has risen after Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine for the primary time.

Brent crude, the worldwide benchmark, jumped 2pc to greater than $74 a barrel following the assault.

The Russian strike seems to be the primary use of such a weapon since its improvement on the inception of the Cold War.

Moscow’s assault comes after Kyiv was given the go-ahead to increase its use US and British long-range weapons.


Bitcoin’s march towards $100,000 has gathered tempo as buyers guess on a friendlier US regulatory strategy beneath Donald Trump.

Bitcoin costs topped $98,000 for the primary time and had been final up round 4pc on the day.

The cryptocurrency’s worth has greater than doubled this yr and is up about 40pc within the two weeks since Mr Trump was elected as the following US president and a bunch of pro-crypto candidates had been voted into Congress.

IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore mentioned: “While it’s now firmly into overbought territory, it is being drawn toward the $100k level.”

Mr Trump embraced digital belongings throughout his election marketing campaign, promising to make the United States the “crypto capital of the planet” and to build up a nationwide stockpile of bitcoin.

More than $4 billion has streamed into US-listed bitcoin exchange-traded funds for the reason that election. This week, there was a robust debut for choices on BlackRock’s ETF, with name choices – bets on the value going up – extra widespread than places.

Wes Wilkes, chief government at Net-Worth NTWRK mentioned: “$100,000 Bitcoin seems inevitable. Bitcoin or a Bitcoin ETF will absolutely find its way into the allocations of wealth managers, mutual funds and even UK pension pots, even during this government.

“It’s happening already in the US and, with Trump in the White House, the momentum will only grow.”

Will Peck, head of digital belongings at WisdomTree, added: “Many are wondering if this administration will bring the regulatory clarity the crypto community has been waiting for. It’s likely too soon to say.”


Employers paid a report £67bn in National Insurance on their employees’ pay packets within the seven months earlier than Rachel Reeves jacked up the so-called “jobs tax” in her Budget on the finish of October.

The haul of £66.8bn between April and October represents a bounce of just about 6pc from the £63bn which the Treasury obtained in the identical interval of the earlier yr, figures from HM Revenue and Customs present.

By distinction worker National Insurance contributions, that are proven in employees’ pay packets, fell to £28bn, down by nearly one-quarter on the yr, after the Conservatives minimize the speed twice of their ultimate yr of workplace.

It signifies that the overwhelming majority of nationwide insurance coverage is already being paid by employers, with the share set to rise additional subsequent yr following the Budget.

Damon Hopkins at monetary providers consultancy Broadstone, mentioned the tax figures present employers’ contributions already “far exceeding previous tax years and highlighting just how lucrative national insurance is likely to become for the Treasury”.

The Chancellor’s tax raid takes impact at first of the brand new monetary yr in April 2025.

From that time employers pays a price of 15pc – up from 13.8pc – and the wage threshold at which the tax kicks in will fall to £5,000, down from £9,100 at the moment.

It means companies which make use of lower-paid employees are set to be hit notably arduous by the tax enhance.

“With the exception of very small businesses, these increased costs are likely to force businesses to review their approach to hiring, pay and benefits and perhaps even wider operating costs,” mentioned Mr Hopkins.

“Balancing these new cost pressures while supporting employees through what is still a fragile macroeconomic environment and without compromising retention or productivity will be a challenge.”


The pound was little modified towards the greenback as buyers wait to see who Donald Trump will decide as his Treasury Secretary.

Sterling was final down lower than 0.1pc at $1.265 towards the US forex, which has surged for the reason that US election in anticipation of the president-elect’s inflationary insurance policies.

Treasury Secretary is a vital function because it has implications for US progress, commerce and taxes.

The pound was up 0.1pc towards the euro, which is price 83.2p.

The single forex has come beneath intense stress towards the greenback specifically, as merchants attempt to issue within the potential hit to eurozone progress from tariffs anticipated beneath the Trump administration.

Money markets point out there’s a 10pc probability the Bank of England will minimize rates of interest in December.

Policymakers are anticipated to decrease charges by round 68 foundation factors – equal to simply beneath three quarters of a share level – over the following yr.

Traders suppose there may be an 80pc probability the following minimize will occur in February.

Commerzbank strategist Michael Pfister mentioned: “We still believe that the next rate cut will take place then. The argument in favour of this is that monetary policy is still likely to be seen as quite restrictive and policymakers will certainly want to avoid falling behind the curve.”


Car gross sales throughout the UK and Europe flatlined final month, new knowledge present within the wake of Ford’s decision to axe 4,000 jobs.

New automotive registrations had been up simply 0.1pc in October in comparison with final yr, in response to the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association, often known as ACEA.

Europe’s second largest financial system, France, drove the declines, falling 11.1pc, whereas Italy’s gross sales dropped by 9.1pc. Total gross sales in Britain had been down 6pc.

It comes a day after Ford introduced it will axe hundreds of roles, together with 800 jobs in Britain, amid lacklustre demand electrical vehicles.

EV gross sales rose 6.9pc final month however had been down in Germany, Europe’s largest market, by 4.9pc, down 18pc in France and down 12.8pc in Italy.

On Wednesday, Nissan warned the Transport Secretary that electrical car (EV) targets threat “irreversible” harm to the automotive trade.

Nissan’s Guillaume Cartier mentioned: “The mandate risks undermining the business case for manufacturing cars in the UK, and the viability of thousands of jobs and billions of pounds in investment.”

Ford has a factory in Dagenham, east London
Ford has a manufacturing unit in Dagenham, east London – Carl Court/Getty Images

Royal Mail has warned it must elevate costs after taking a £120m hit from Rachel Reeves’s Budget tax raid.

The postal firm mentioned the Chancellor’s resolution to raise employer National Insurance contributions (NICs) can have a disproportionate influence on the corporate, given it has 130,000 employees.

Bosses mentioned they’d partially offset the elevated tax invoice by means of worth rises and value slicing, however admitted that longer-term proposals had been additionally wanted to ease pressures.

The warning came as the letter deliverer revealed its half-year results.

Rachel Reeves's Budget forced Royal Mail's owner to record a £134m write-down in its latest results
Rachel Reeves’s Budget compelled Royal Mail’s proprietor to report a £134m write-down in its newest outcomes – REUTERS/Peter Cziborra

Safety techniques group Halma has surged to the highest of the FTSE 100 because it revealed rising revenues and earnings.

The well being and security know-how firm mentioned revenues rose 13pc to tip over £1bn whereas adjusted pre-tax earnings rose 18pc to £209.2m.

Shares rose as a lot as 10.5pc – their most since June, after analysts at Investec and UBS reiterated their purchase rankings for the inventory, whereas Barclays advisable buyers be “overweight” the inventory of their portfolios.

Chief government Marc Ronchetti mentioned: “These results further extend our track record of delivering strong and compounding revenue and profit growth, substantial cash generation enabling continued investment, and returns well above our cost of capital, while growing a safer, cleaner, healthier future for everyone, every day.”


China has unveiled new measures designed to spice up international commerce as it’s extensively anticipated to face US tariffs when Donald Trump returns to the White House.

Beijing is battling to show round a slowing financial system threatened additional by the incoming president’s pledge to put levies of 60pc on Chinese items getting into the American financial system.

Its commerce ministry launched a discover ordering all ranges of presidency to instantly implement 9 insurance policies to “promote the stable growth of foreign trade, and consolidate and enhance the economy’s upward momentum”.

The measures included an enlargement of export credit score insurance coverage, sturdy financing help for international firms and smoother cross-border commerce settlements.

Other strikes aimed to additional develop cross-border e-commerce, push exports of speciality agricultural merchandise, and extra help for imports of “key equipment, energy resources and other products”.

The world’s second-largest financial system has struggled to revive progress for the reason that pandemic and stays beset by a debt disaster within the essential housing sector, chronically low consumption and excessive youth unemployment.

Donald Trump has pledged to impose 60pc tariffs on China goods entering the US economy
Donald Trump has pledged to impose 60pc tariffs on China items getting into the US financial system – Brandon Bell/Pool by way of REUTERS

JD Sports Fashion has seen shares tumble to their lowest degree in two years after bosses warned earnings can be on the decrease finish of steerage following a gross sales hunch in October.

Shares within the sportswear retailer plunged as a lot as 16.6pc to the underside of the FTSE 100 after it mentioned underlying annual earnings are actually anticipated on the decrease finish of its earlier steerage for between £955m to £1.04bn.

It follows robust buying and selling in October, with UK gross sales hit by delicate climate and better promotional reductions elsewhere within the sector.

Meanwhile, JD Sports mentioned North American gross sales had been more likely to have been affected by uncertainty forward of the US election.

Like-for-like gross sales fell 2.4pc within the UK total within the three months to November 2, with US gross sales down 1.5pc.

Chief government Regis Schultz mentioned: “After a good start to the period, helped by strong back-to-school sales, we saw increased trading volatility in October, particularly in North America and the UK, reflecting elevated promotional activity and mild weather.”

“The trading environment remains volatile though and, following October trading, we now anticipate full year profit to be at the lower end of our guidance range.”

Store gross sales continued to outperform on-line buying and selling, whereas footwear additionally fared higher than clothes, in response to the group.

JD opened 79 new retailers within the third quarter, with 181 in its monetary yr to date, taking the worldwide whole to 4,541.

JD Sports said mild weather hit sales in October
JD Sports mentioned delicate climate hit gross sales in October – Betty Laura Zapata/Bloomberg

Package vacation firm Jet2 revealed report passenger numbers and revenues within the first half of the yr as Britons prioritised a last-minute abroad vacation regardless of value of dwelling pressures.

Shares surged as a lot as 11.7pc – their largest rise in two years – because the group raised its annual earnings forecast after pre-tax earnings rose 20pc to £791.4m within the six months to September.

Revenues rose 15pc to tip over £5bn because it carried 13.3m passengers, with a “higher proportion than usual booking much closer to their departure date”.

Chief government Steve Heapy mentioned: “Even in difficult economic times, the annual overseas holiday remains a highly valued and eagerly anticipated experience, often taking precedence over other discretionary spend.

“As a result, we are confident that our proven business model – anchored to delivering a fantastic customer service with a well-established, trusted holiday brand – offers customers a compelling value proposition.”

Jet2 carried a record number of passengers as many holidaymakers booked breaks at the last minute
Jet2 carried a report variety of passengers as many holidaymakers booked breaks on the final minute – Nicholas.T.Ansell/PA Wire

Stock markets in London lacked course as the most recent public sector borrowing figures forged a shadow on the UK financial system.

The FTSE 100 was little modified whereas the midcap FTSE 250 was down 0.1pc because the Treasury borrowed about £4bn greater than anticipated in October.

JD Sports shares plunged as a lot as 16.1pc to the underside of the FTSE 100 after gross sales had been weaker than anticipated within the third quarter.

The retailer additionally warned that it had confronted “softer consumer demand” on account of poor climate and “suppressed demand in the US ahead of the election”.

CMC Markets dropped as a lot as 13pc – its largest fall in additional than a yr – regardless of internet buying and selling income rising 50pc to £131.3m.

Boohoo shares had been up greater than 1pc after it moved its co-founder Mahmud Kamani to and government vice chairman amid a wider boardroom battle.

In a contemporary open letter as we speak, Mike Ashley’s Frasers known as for Mr Kamani to give up and the Sports Direct tycoon to be put in as a director.

North Sea operator Ithaca surged by as a lot as 10.2pc – probably the most in two years – to steer features on the FTSE 250 after saying $200m particular dividend following its acquisition of Eni’s UK upstream oil and fuel belongings.


Inheritance tax receipts are “likely to keep rising”, wealth managers have warned, as the most recent knowledge on public sector funds confirmed the levy has clawed in £5bn during the last seven months.

Rachel Reeves introduced plans within the Budget to freeze the inheritance tax threshold for one more two years till 2030.

Farmers took to the streets of London on Wednesday to protest towards modifications to Agricultural Relief and Business Property Relief which can enhance the levies on their estates after they die.

Alex Davies, chief government of Wealth Club mentioned: “Inheritance tax was already an absolute cash cow for the Government.

“The extreme changes announced in last month’s Budget which badly affect farmers, business owners, pension policyholders and investors, mean these figures are only going to increase over the coming years.”

Jonny Black, chief business and technique officer at abrdn, added: “IHT receipts are likely to keep rising, given the extension of the IHT threshold freeze at the Budget and the government’s proposed plans to bring pensions into its scope.”


Rachel Reeves might want to put up taxes additional if she desires to extend public spending, economists have mentioned, after the Treasury borrowed greater than anticipated final month.

The Chancellor has “little wiggle room” for spending after public sector borrowing got here in about £4bn above analyst expectations in October, in response to Capital Economics.

UK economist Alex Kerr mentioned: “October’s disappointing public finances figures underline the fiscal challenge that the Chancellor still faces, despite the big increases in spending and taxes announced in the Budget.

“And while the Chancellor has downplayed the chances of further tax-raising measures, if she wants to increase day-to-day spending in future years, she may need to raise taxes to pay for it.”

Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics mentioned surging debt curiosity prices had raised borrowing, “leaving the Chancellor with little headroom”.

ICAEW director of public sector and taxation Alison Ring mentioned: “With the Government’s growth agenda including planning reform and a fresh industrial strategy yet to be rolled out, let alone bear fruit, the Chancellor is almost entirely relying on her Autumn Budget tax rises to stabilise the fiscal situation from April 2025 onwards.

“ This is likely to stiffen her resolve against calls for her to reverse course on some of her tax decisions.”


The FTSE 100 edged increased regardless of Nvidia’s intently watched outcomes on Wall Street being met with disappointment from buyers.

The UK’s blue-chip index rose 0.2pc to eight,104.63 whereas the midcap FTSE 250 was up 0.1pc to twenty,265.44.

Chip maker Nvidia, which is the world’s Most worthy firm, is seen as a pivotal firm for market sentiment amid the increase in AI.

UK inventory markets are much less uncovered to tech than different international markets.


Nine water firms can be blocked from utilizing buyer cash to fund “undeserved” bonuses for high bosses price £6.8m, the water regulator has introduced.

Ofwat mentioned it had stepped in to make use of its new powers to halt water firms that can’t present that bonuses are sufficiently linked to efficiency from utilizing buyer cash to fund the payouts, amounting to 73pc of the overall government awards proposed throughout the trade.

Debt-laden Thames Water is amongst three suppliers – additionally together with Yorkshire Water, and Dwr Cymru Welsh Water – which had been straight blocked from permitting prospects to pay £1.5m of bonuses.

Ofwat mentioned an additional six firms had voluntarily determined to not push the price of government bonuses price a mixed £5.2m onto prospects, with shareholders as an alternative paying.

David Black, chief government of Ofwat, mentioned: “In stopping customers from paying for undeserved bonuses that do not properly reflect performance, we are looking to sharpen executive mindsets and push companies to improve their performance and culture of accountability.

“While we are starting to see companies take some positive steps, they need to do more to rebuild public trust.”

Thames Water is among nine companies that will be blocked from using customer cash for bonuses
Thames Water is amongst 9 firms that can be blocked from utilizing buyer money for bonuses – REUTERS/Toby Melville

After public sector borrowing was increased than anticipated in October, Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones mentioned:

We inherited a £22bn black gap in our public funds from the earlier authorities.


The Treasury has clawed in an additional 11pc from inheritance tax receipts to date this yr, official figures present, forward of Budget reforms that are poised to ramp up takings additional.

The Government has raised £5bn from the tax within the first seven months of the yr, which is increased than the £4.6bn obtained by this level final yr.

It places the Treasury on monitor for a fourth consecutive report yearly receipt from inheritance tax, with the OBR forecasting it should rise additional after modifications introduced within the Budget.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) now estimates the Treasury will acquire greater than £50bn in inheritance tax alone over the following 5 years.

Stephen Lowe, group communications director at retirement specialist Just Group, mentioned: “These increases start to look modest compared to the forecast inheritance tax takes following the reforms announced in the Budget.

“With the thresholds frozen for another two years, any growth in property prices or other assets will drag more estates over the threshold, as reflected in the number of deaths subject to IHT now forecast to reach nearly 10pc by the end of the decade.”


ONS deputy director for public sector funds Jessica Barnaby mentioned:

This month’s borrowing was the second highest October determine since month-to-month information started in January 1993.


Rachel Reeves’s inflation-busting pay offers and hovering debt curiosity helped to push public borrowing in October to the second-highest on report, in response to official knowledge.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) mentioned the federal government borrowed £17.4bn final month to cowl the hole between tax revenues and public spending.

This was £4bn greater than anticipated and the second highest October borrowing since month-to-month information started in January 1993.

The Chancellor introduced £9.4bn of inflation-busting pay offers weeks after taking workplace, with lecturers and NHS employees beginning to see backdated pay rises from final month.

The ONS mentioned central authorities spending rose by £2.5bn to £36.9bn “as pay rises and inflation increased running costs”.

Statisticians additionally highlighted that the federal government’s debt curiosity funds stood at £9.1bn final month, a rise of £0.5bn in contrast with a yr in the past and the best October determine since information started in 1997.

The ONS additionally mentioned borrowing within the earlier monetary yr was £3.2bn increased than Britain’s price range watchdog predicted only a few weeks in the past, at £125.1bn. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) expects the deficit to rise once more this yr to £127.5bn.

Britain has borrowed £96.6bn to date this yr to pay for public providers, £1.1bn greater than on the identical level final yr, ONS knowledge present.

The OBR blamed the additional borrowing on “higher central government spending, particularly departmental consumption and welfare spending”.

The ONS mentioned the earlier authorities’s resolution to uprate a sequence of advantages by 6.7pc and the state pension by 8.5pc final yr meant welfare funds elevated by £7.2bn to £178.4bn to date this monetary yr.


Public sector pay offers pushed Government borrowing increased than anticipated within the run-up to the Budget, official figures present.

The Treasury borrowed £17.4bn in October, in response to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which was effectively forward of analyst forecasts for £13.3bn.

Public sector internet borrowing, excluding banks, was the second highest for any October on report, as authorities expenditure surged to £88.5bn.

Spending was £3.9bn increased than final yr, as public sector pay rises helped drive a £2.5bn bounce in departmental spending on items and providers to £36.9bn.

The ONS knowledge reveals the Treasury was borrowing greater than anticipated earlier than the Chancellor adjusted the UK’s debt guidelines within the Budget to permit her to extend public spending.

Government spending is now on the right track to rise by about £70bn a yr, or 2pc of GDP, over the following 5 years, funded partly by tax rises but additionally by some £28bn of additional borrowing.

The ONS mentioned public sector internet debt excluding public sector banks reached round 97.5pc of the UK’s annual gross home product (GDP).


Thanks for becoming a member of me. The Treasury borrowed greater than anticipated final month as authorities departments ramped up spending on pay rises.

Public sector internet borrowing, excluding banks, was the second highest for any October on report, in response to the Office for National Statistics.

  1. Reeves drives building projects to 12-year low with Budget raid | Barely any new retail house is being constructed, whereas workplace house already beneath building has fallen to a decade low

  2. City sticks with diversity push as Wall Street ‘woke’ backlash mounts | US firms have been ditching company variety programmes

  3. Backlash as diversity activist champions controversial Jaguar rebrand | Efforts to present the British carmaker a extra progressive picture have raised considerations amongst loyalists

  4. British fusion energy pioneer raises £100m to build first factory | Tokamak Energy believes it may have a pilot plant up and operating within the subsequent 10 years

  5. Donald Trump’s ‘free speech’ warrior battling to rein in big tech | Appointee guarantees to comply with by means of on pledge to sort out what he calls the ‘censorship cartel’

Asian shares had been principally decrease as markets tried to digest the sturdy and extremely anticipated revenue report from Nvidia.

Nvidia once more topped analysts’ expectations however know-how shares in Tokyo declined as they’d already risen earlier in anticipation. In after-hours buying and selling, Nvidia’s shares misplaced 2.5pc.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 shed 0.9pc to 38,025.66, as shares in semiconductor gear maker Advantest dropped 2.6pc. Chip maker Tokyo Electron shed 0.5pc.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slipped lower than 0.1pc to eight,323.00. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.5pc to 2,493.73. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dipped 0.2pc to 19,667.42, whereas the Shanghai Composite rose lower than 0.1pc to three,368.80.

All three of the key Wall Street indexes spent a lot of Wednesday in destructive territory. The Nasdaq remained down 0.1pc, at 18,966.14, when the market closed, however S&P 500 was flat at 5,917.11 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average completed up 0.3pc at 43,408.47.

In the bond market, the yield on much-watched 10-year US Treasury notes rose to 4.409pc from 4.406pc late on Tuesday.



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