Rachel Reeves ‘not happy’ with GDP figures as Tories label 0.1% progress ‘disappointing’
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has says she just isn’t happy with the newest GDP figures, which shadow chancellor Mel Stride additionally described this morning as “disappointing”.
The UK financial system slowed to a near-standstill within the third quarter as uncertainty surrounding Labour’s first funds and excessive rates of interest weighed on enterprise and shopper spending.
Reeves mentioned: “Improving economic growth is at the heart of everything I am seeking to achieve, which is why I am not satisfied with these numbers.”
She added:
At my funds, I took the troublesome selections to repair the foundations and stabilise our public funds. Now we’re going to ship progress via funding and reform to create extra jobs and extra money in folks’s pockets, get the NHS again on its ft, rebuild Britain and safe our borders in a decade of nationwide renewal.
Shadow chancellor Mel Stride mentioned on Sky News that the numbers have been “extremely disappointing,” and blamed the Labour authorities which took energy just a few days into the third quarter. Pointing out that progress within the US was a lot increased, Stride mentioned:
I believe lots of that’s as a result of this authorities, on coming to workplace, talked down the UK financial system.
And it did that as a result of it at all times deliberate to jack up taxes in the best way that it has within the funds, and wished to make on the market was an even bigger drawback than there was.
We heard about all this fictitious black gap and so forth. We’re seeing the implications of that.
Key occasions
Labour MP Liam Byrne earlier mentioned that the nation was in a troublesome place and that daring measures from authorities could be wanted.
The MP for Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North who chairs parliament’s Business and Trade committee, mentioned on the BBC Radio 4 Today programme:
We want to lift the funding price within the British financial system. We haven’t been investing sufficient in infrastructure and expertise and innovation for a protracted time period.
I’m afraid that catches up with you, particularly in case you’re now on this new world the place a lot of our commerce is wrapped in pink tape.
We’re in fairly a troublesome place in the mean time and we’re going to want some fairly daring and fairly fast measures from our authorities.
The MP for Clacton, Nigel Farage, has additionally chipped in his tuppence on social media after the ONS revealed weak GDP progress figures, and the governer of the Bank of England known as for a rebuild of relations with the EU on Thursday night.
The Reform UK chief posted to social media to say “The governor of the Bank of England, the man who didn’t see inflation coming, wants closer ties to the EU. The same old failed establishment are still in charge and the country gets poorer.”
Speaking on the Mansion House dinner within the City of London on Thursday night, the Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey mentioned he took no place on Brexit “per se”, however added: “I do have to point out consequences.”
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has mentioned she is “not satisfied” with the 0.1% progress revealed by in the present day’s GSP figures. Shadow chancellor Mel Stride known as them “extremely disappointing.”
Kit Malthouse, Conservative MP for North West Hampshire, has mentioned it’s “gaslighting” in charge Brexit for low progress within the UK financial system.
Posting to social media, he described the weak GDP figures as “the Reeves effect,” saying:
Anyone in contact with the true financial system might let you know this was coming. Reeves manipulation prematurely of the funds had a huge effect. Now watch the gaslighting that it’s due to Brexit, regardless of German financial system tanking and France struggling to promote its debt.
On Thursday night time Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey mentioned he took no place on Brexit “per se”, however that it had “weighed” on the financial system, mentioning specifically the affect of Brexit on the UK’s commerce in items.
My colleague Graeme Wearden on our enterprise reside weblog had this comparability of G7 economies earlier:
Labour MP Josh MacAlister was on the Today programme this morning, not speaking in regards to the GDP figures, however as a substitute about his plans for a personal member’s invoice on on-line security for kids.
PA Media reviews the proposal is supposed to deal with “addictive by-design features” on social media and smartphones, within the wake of Australia urgent forward with a social media ban for under-16s.
Elected in July as MP for Whitehaven and Workington, he advised listeners:
The undeniable fact that (the Australian authorities) is proposing it speaks to one thing that’s taking place all around the globe, which is governments waking as much as considerations that folks, academics, and truly kids themselves have of the impact of extra display time, doom-scrolling, and the truth that it’s displacing an enormous period of time that children used to spend in actual life interacting with folks.
I need us to lift the age at which a toddler is ready to give their permission for data-sharing from 13 to 16.
That would have the impact of constructing it a lot more durable for tech corporations to make use of kids’s knowledge to feed algorithms that then feed stuff again to kids that could be very addictive.
In information that may disappoint these of you who get pleasure from a Liberal Democrat stunt, PA has simply reported that Ed Davey is not going to, as was deliberate, be taking a bus-driving lesson at a depot in Oxfordshire, resulting from logistical points. Instead he shall be visiting go to high-street companies.
It is a part of a marketing campaign by the Liberal Democrats to get Labour to maintain the bus fare worth cap at £2 in England when it extends the scheme into subsequent yr.
Davey is quoted as saying:
The fare cap improve is sort of a bus tax for folks throughout the nation, impacting bus customers and commuters already struggling to make ends meet. MPs should be given a say on this bus fare hike on behalf of their constituents.
Our communities have already paid too excessive a worth for years of Conservative neglect and incompetence. This bus fare hike will hit cherished native companies and excessive streets, a lot of that are already struggling.
The authorities wants to alter course and increase struggling native economies by investing in bus routes.
My colleague Pippa Crerar, our political editor, has made this statement about in the present day’s GDP figures, saying they’re “a blow” to the chancellor.
Crerar writes:
Uncertainty round Labour’s first funds and excessive rates of interest performed their half, however [the GDP figures are] nonetheless a blow for Rachel Reeves, as [it] underlines issue of reaching her formidable progress goal.
Some in Labour wish to recalibrate financial focus away from progress and in direction of price of residing ie “will people feel better off by time of next election?”
Crerar goes on to say that this is not going to be an “easy task” both, noting that the OBR has forecast actual family disposable earnings per individual will drop for the following two monetary years.
Lib Dem name for presidency to u-turn over £3 bus fare cap extension in England
The Liberal Democrats are campaigning in the present day in regards to the Labour authorities resolution to increase the England bus fare cap for an additional yr, however to lift the cap 50% from a most from £2 to £3.
Transport spokesperson Paul Kohler advised listeners of Times Radio that the federal government might simply discover the cash to maintain the cap at £2, saying:
The prices are fairly marginal. We might simply fund that by reversing the Tory tax reduce on banks, or by taxing social media corporations correctly. And most significantly, we have to develop the financial system.
He instructed that the rise from £2 to £3 would have a huge effect on folks, saying:
We are speaking a few 50% improve in prices. So in case you use a bus going to work day by day in a rural space, it’s including £600 a yr to your prices. And bear in mind, essentially the most susceptible in society use buses. They are the individuals who undergo from this.
He mentioned in the end the transfer would hurt progress, suggesting that one in 5 folks had mentioned the increase would lower their bus utilization for social and hospitality causes.
“Each of these marginal costs make growing the economy more difficult,” he mentioned.
Nigel Huddleston, the MP for Droitwich and Evesham, who was just lately appointed as co-chairman of the Conservative social gathering, has added his phrases to response to in the present day’s weak GDP figures.
He mentioned on social media that he agreed with Mel Stride’s interpretation, and that they mirrored weak enterprise confidence within the new authorities.
This Labour authorities has accomplished nothing however trash discuss the British financial system, British enterprise, and British employees since coming to energy – after which topped it off with essentially the most ant-business funds in many years. The inevitable end result: slower progress.
Mims Davies, who’s the Tory shadow minister for girls and equalities, additionally expressed concern on the numbers. The MP for East Grinstead and Uckfield mentioned:
Unfortunately the nerves and angst post-budget don’t bode nicely both. The Labour funds of damaged guarantees additionally disproportionately impacts girls’s employment, feminine led small companies and impacts single mother and father alternatives.
This is a should do higher second for this feeble Government – for our financial system – as all of us merely can’t afford Labour and our public companies will undergo if we buckle underneath low progress and uncontrolled borrowing.
Since Q1 in 2022, the best stage of progress recorded for the UK by the ONS was 0.7% (twice, in Q1 2022 and in Q1 2024), and at its lowest progress was -0.3%, which basically means that post-pandemic, the financial system has for the final practically three years been bouncing round at close to stagnation ranges, together with two quarters of recession underneath the Tories on the finish of 2023.
Prime minister Keir Starmer is predicted to be in Wales in the present day because the Welsh Labour convention will get underneath manner in Llandudno.
Analysis: Growth figures a priority for Reeves and the Treasury
Heather Stewart
My colleague Heather Stewart has this evaluation of in the present day’s GDP figures:
Few might have anticipated Labour to kickstart an financial renaissance from day one, regardless of its “mission” to ship the best sustained progress within the G7.
But the information will fear the Treasury for 2 causes: first, it reveals the dimensions of the problem forward; and second, it raises the query of whether or not the grim temper intentionally created over the summer season dented confidence and held again progress.
Of course, a lot of Labour’s plans for triggering progress are long run, involving knotty structural issues comparable to planning and infrastructure. And progress had at all times been anticipated to sluggish, after bouncing again strongly from final yr’s temporary recession to broaden by 0.7% within the first quarter of the yr, and 0.5% within the second quarter.
But some enterprise teams and analysts have been fast to level the finger on the authorities.
You can learn extra of Heather Stewart’s evaluation right here: Few anticipated Britain to increase however the GDP figures will fear the Treasury
Lib Dems: GDP figures present ‘scale of problem’ after ‘years of reckless mismanagement’ by Tories
In their response to the GDP figures this morning, the Liberal Democrats have mentioned they present the “scale of the challenge” after “years of reckless mismanagement” by the Tories.
The UK financial system slowed to a near-standstill, rising by simply 0.1% within the third quarter of the yr, down from 0.5% within the second quarter.
Treasury spokesperson Daisy Cooper mentioned:
Today’s disappointing figures underline the dimensions of the problem going through our financial system after years of reckless mismanagement by the earlier Conservative authorities.
After a funds promising to ship little by the use of progress and an unfair tax on small companies, we have to see an actual progress plan from the federal government.
These further taxes might be the ultimate nail within the coffin for the numerous small companies which can be already struggling. It’s the very last thing our financial system must get it out of the sluggish lane.
The authorities didn’t put anyone up within the media spherical this morning to be able to defend the weak GDP figures, however just lately appointed Conservative shadow chancellor Mel Stride was throughout the airwaves to react to them.
He mentioned he had considerations about progress going ahead after seeing the figures. He advised viewers of Sky News:
If you have a look at the OBR forecast across the funds, it reveals progress being decrease throughout that forecast than it will have been underneath us again within the spring.
The Conservatives have loved a testy relationship with the OBR in current months, with former chancellor and shadow chancellor Jeremy Hunt protesting it had been performing in a political method by scrutinising his figures and the timing of publishing its report on them. After Rachel Reeves’ funds its verdict was that her choices unlikely to extend financial progress over the following 5 years.
Stride mentioned that regardless of these GDP figures together with a short interval when the Tories have been in authorities, they absolutely mirrored enterprise sentiment in regards to the incoming Labour administration. He mentioned:
We noticed that in what are known as PMI surveys of enterprise confidence, they usually just about plummeted not lengthy after the federal government got here into workplace. And I believe a few of that, at the least, is what you’re seeing feeding via.
But I believe the long run is equally worrying, as a result of, after all, what the federal government has accomplished is ramped up taxes on enterprise, nationwide insurance coverage, that’s going to depress wages, improve unemployment, it’s going to decrease progress. You’re going to see increased inflation as a consequence, and better rates of interest. And these are issues that aren’t good as an outlook for the long run
Today’s GDP report reveals that the UK is sitting in direction of the underside of the G7 for progress over the summer season.
Rachel Reeves ‘not happy’ with GDP figures as Tories label 0.1% progress ‘disappointing’
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has says she just isn’t happy with the newest GDP figures, which shadow chancellor Mel Stride additionally described this morning as “disappointing”.
The UK financial system slowed to a near-standstill within the third quarter as uncertainty surrounding Labour’s first funds and excessive rates of interest weighed on enterprise and shopper spending.
Reeves mentioned: “Improving economic growth is at the heart of everything I am seeking to achieve, which is why I am not satisfied with these numbers.”
She added:
At my funds, I took the troublesome selections to repair the foundations and stabilise our public funds. Now we’re going to ship progress via funding and reform to create extra jobs and extra money in folks’s pockets, get the NHS again on its ft, rebuild Britain and safe our borders in a decade of nationwide renewal.
Shadow chancellor Mel Stride mentioned on Sky News that the numbers have been “extremely disappointing,” and blamed the Labour authorities which took energy just a few days into the third quarter. Pointing out that progress within the US was a lot increased, Stride mentioned:
I believe lots of that’s as a result of this authorities, on coming to workplace, talked down the UK financial system.
And it did that as a result of it at all times deliberate to jack up taxes in the best way that it has within the funds, and wished to make on the market was an even bigger drawback than there was.
We heard about all this fictitious black gap and so forth. We’re seeing the implications of that.
Welcome and opening abstract …
Good morning and welcome to our UK politics protection for Friday. Here are your headlines …
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The UK financial system slowed to a near-standstill with progress of simply 0.1% within the third quarter of the yr as uncertainty surrounding Labour’s first funds and excessive rates of interest weighed on enterprise and shopper spending
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Chancellor Rachel Reeves mentioned: “Improving economic growth is at the heart of everything I am seeking to achieve, which is why I am not satisfied with these numbers”
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Shadow chancellor Mel Stride has been on the media spherical, describing the figures, which do partly cowl a short interval when his social gathering have been nonetheless in authorities, as “disappointing”
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The Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has urged ministers to “rebuild relations” with the EU, warning that Brexit has undermined the UK’s financial system
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Leading Tories Robert Jenrick and Oliver Dowden have been on the committee that backed plans for the “rushed and misjudged” £15m buy of an asbestos-ridden website for asylum lodging
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The Liberal Democrats are campaigning about bus fares in England. Ed Davey is predicted to do a bus-driving stunt later in the present day
The Lords are sitting in the present day, however there is no such thing as a enterprise in any of the devolved parliaments or assemblies.
It is Martin Belam with you this Friday. The finest approach to get in contact is e-mail – martin.belam@theguardian.com.