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The Nifty IT index rose over 3%, becoming the leading sectoral entertainer amidst indications of a possible Donald Trump win
The Nifty IT index rose over 3 percent, becoming the leading sectoral entertainer amidst indications of a possibility Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential political elections. All 10 supplies within the index progressed by 1 to 4 percent, with Infosys, TCS, and HCLTech leading the cost.
“Currently, signs recommend Trump might win once more, and among his major propositions is to enforce tolls on Chinese imports. While this could not cause a full-blown profession battle, provided Trump’s practical company strategy, he’s most likely to proceed an anti-China plan. This can be beneficial for India’s exports, not simply in IT however throughout several industries,” VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.
What is driving IT stocks?
Election trends show Trump taking the lead, bolstering the dollar index. A stronger dollar benefits Indian IT companies, as they generate a significant portion of their revenue in US currency while bearing most of their operational costs in Indian rupees.
Experts say the expectations of a Republican sweep in the US election is a key positive for the IT players as Trump’s policies are expected to strengthen the dollar.
“Given their significant presence in the US market, IT companies may benefit from a rebound in US equities following the Republican sweep in the US elections, which is one of the major factors behind today’s gain,” stated Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst at Swastika Investmart Ltd.
“Strong quarterly arise from IT business or hopeful revenue assumptions can boost acquiring rate of interest. Another factor is that international profile capitalists (FPIs) might be restoring their rate of interest in Indian IT supplies, which would certainly elevate acquiring stress,” said Gour.
However, brokerage firm JM Financial believes Trump’s Presidency, while headline negative, will have limited impact on India IT Services players.
The brokerage firm pointed out that the US President has significant executive powers over immigration. The outcome of the US presidential elections will, therefore, have ramifications over the future of employment-based immigration.
However, JM Financial said Trump’s expansionary fiscal policy—cutting the corporate tax rate to 15 per cent from 21 per cent for domestic production—could be positive for IT Services demand as it eases budgetary pressures.
In September, the IT index hit a high of 43,645.9 on September 13, before undergoing a nearly 5 percent correction. However, the combination of US election results due on November 5 and expectations of rate cuts by the US Fed on November 7 are now seen as positive catalysts for IT stocks.
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