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Every offseason, dream football supervisors would like to know: that can you truly count on your schedule? One name that has actually appeared– together with a huge dosage of suspicion– is brand-new Commanders receiverDeebo Samuel Sr In the latest Yahoo Fantasy Forecast, Matt Harmon and Andy Behrens got involved in the weeds on Deebo’s potential customers since he remains inWashington Is he a person you can count on, or is care the smarter method?
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Let’s break down what they stated, what the numbers reveal and exactly how you must deal with Deebo in your 2025 draft strategies.
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Deebo Samuel Sr signs up with a brand-new group
Washington included Deebo Samuel to assist take Jayden Daniels and the infraction to the following degree. But as Matt and Andy explained, the Commanders or else really did not do much to update their receiver area: “[Deebo Samuel] is the only, like, real pass catcher addition here,” Matt stated. “Zach Ertz is another year older. … The other spots along the offensive line, we don’t quite know what’s going to happen.”
So, Deebo is plainly being depended on to be greater than simply a gizmo gamer or belongings man– he’s intended to be a difference-maker on this group.
Wiht that stated, there are some genuine warnings.
Both hosts had genuine bookings concerning what Deebo still offers the table. “Deebo is such a complicated player because he built his reputation on the one great season, right? The 1,400-yard season. … That one big season represents about 30% of his career receiving production and the rest of the career is full of isolated good games and a whole bunch of really quiet games,” Andy stated.
Deebo’s 2021 outbreak was fabulous. But ever since? He just hasn’t resemble duplicating it.
Deebo’s remained in a constant decrease considering that his beast period
Matt highlighted some sensational Reception Perception information: “Deebo Samuel last year … 39.7% success rate vs. man coverage. That is … the third lowest mark I’ve ever charted, ever, ever, ever. … Deebo’s never been a great man-beater, but it was better than that previously. … This was consistent on film before the pneumonia thing.”
Translation: he’s battling to divide, also prior to in 2015’s health and wellness problems.
Deebo’s video game relies upon quickness, damaging takes on and YAC. But he’s fought injuries, ailment and simply wear-and-tear, specifically as he sneaks closer to 30.
Both Matt and Andy likewise question if this infraction is also constructed to make Deebo a trustworthy dream starter. “I’m not saying that I’m betting against the Commanders … but if by Week 8 we’re kind of looking back and saying like, ‘ah, yeah, did we take another step here?’ I think that’s the question. … Taking the next step to, ‘okay, we went from conference championship to now we’re in the Super Bowl’ … I’m a little skeptical that this was enough on offense,” Matt said.
If the whole offense takes a step back, Deebo’s ceiling — and his weekly floor — could take a nosedive.
Is there any upside to drafting Deebo?
The only thing working in Deebo’s favor is that the Commanders did, in fact, give up a draft pick and are paying him to be involved. Same OC, young QB and a thin receiver group means he’ll get his chances. Also, his YAC skills and ability to break the game open are still tantalizing if he’s healthy and properly used.
Nonetheless, the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast crew clearly leans skeptical on Deebo, and with good reason:
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He’s trending down statistically and on film
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He’s no longer the focal point of a Shanahan offense designed to maximize his strengths
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The Commanders’ offense could be clunky or slow out of the gate
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His “one big year” is fading increasingly more right into the rearview
Unless Deebo reveals he’s restored his ruptured and Washington’s infraction gels early, he’s the sort of gamer you prepare as a WR3/flex, not a person you rely on each week as a locked-in starter.
If he decreases in drafts and you intend to chase after upside, there’s a course. But if you’re expecting that 2021 magic, the Yahoo group claims you must toughen up assumptions.
